Equities were mixed in Asia and Europe yesterday following a rally on Wall Street but investors continued to fret over US lawmakers’ failure to find common ground on a new rescue package for their beleaguered economy.
All three main indexes in New York saw more sharp gains fuelled by optimism over the US economic recovery following a forecast-busting jump in inflation that indicated the key consumer sector was revving up again, while hopes for a vaccine and the wall of central bank cash were also providing support.
Asian traders extended the rally in early trade but struggled to maintain momentum.
Tokyo ended up 1.9% as a recent drop in the safe-haven yen boosted exporters, while Singapore and Manila also added more than 1%. Seoul, Taipei, Jakarta and Wellington were also higher. But Hong Kong dipped 0.1%, Sydney fell 0.7% and Manila shed 0.4%. London sank 0.9% after jumping more than 2% on Wednesday but Paris and Frankfurt were slightly higher.
“The main force that’s been driving markets the last few weeks has really been momentum,” said Kevin Caron at Washington Crossing.
“We’ve got a market that has taken a great deal of comfort in that fiscal policy is going to be there to support an economy through tough times.”
There was also some cheer about Joe Biden’s choice of Kamala Harris as his running mate for November’s election, with observers pointing out she is not considered anti-business and was a more centre-ground politician than other options.
But stalled talks in Washington dampened the mood.
Traders have continued to bet on Congress eventually agreeing on a new pandemic deal despite long-running animosity between Democrats and Republicans. But both sides are blaming each other for the lack of movement, with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin saying House Leader Nancy Pelosi would not budge unless their demand for spending of at least $2tn is met. That is well down from the $3.5tn initially proposed by Democrats but Republicans say they are unwilling to shift from their $1tn plan.
“The Democrats have no interest in negotiating,” Mnuchin said, accusing them of playing politics to hurt Donald Trump with a general election just months away. But in a joint statement, Pelosi and top Senate Democrat Chuck Schumer said: “Democrats have compromised.”
They added: “Repeatedly, we have made clear to the administration that we are willing to come down $1tn if they will come up $1tn.
However, it is clear that the administration still does not grasp the magnitude of the problems that American families are facing.”
There is also a focus on this weekend’s US-China talks to review their trade pact signed in January.
There had been concerns that rising tensions between the superpowers could scupper the agreement, which ended a painful and long-running trade war that battered the global economy. But top officials on both sides have expressed confidence the deal will be kept in place and analysts said there was little desire from either side to scrap it.
“From the US perspective, imposing more trade taxes on US companies in the middle of a pandemic would generally be considered a bad thing for the stock market,” said Stephen Innes at AxiCorp.
“After touting the stock market’s miraculous recovery...Trump would be vehemently against anything that would trigger a drop in stocks,” he added.
“From China’s perspective, Xi probably wants to keep US relations on good terms, given the strong likelihood of a change in the US administration with Democrats polling well.”
In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 closed up 1.8% to 23,249.61 points; Hong Kong Hang Seng ended down 0.1% to 25,230.67 points and Shanghai Composite ended flat at 3,320.73 points yesterday.
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